Record Nokia Sales in India

An interesting parallel to my recent post and speculations on the entry level phone market and Nokia market-share in Thailand.

This report from India…

  • Nokia currently has 38 models available on the retail shelf, of which around 13-25 can be categorised into the low-end segment
  • This segment has a product at every Rs 200-400 price point beginning from sub-Rs 2,000 (about $40)
  • Other companies have only a few models placed at entry level
  • Margins in the low-end segment are around 6-8%
  • 30% of Nokia’s demand comes from rural and semi-urban India
  • 70% of the models sold in rural and semi-urban markets are low-end

According to the Times, Nokia sold a little over 4 lakh (1 lakh=100,000) phones on October 19th—exceeding previous records for sales on Chinese New Year!

(via Economic Times India and Mobile Pundit)

Mobility in Thailand

People waiting for the SkyTrain
I’m by no means an expert on Thailand’s mobile industry but I do spend quite a bit of time here. Since 2000, we’ve spend about 14 months in Thailand—mostly living in Bangkok but also in smaller provincial areas like Krabi and Phuket. Much of that time has been spent observing ICT and mobile use as well as local trends in brands, content and services. Technology has such a large role here and with improving infrastructure, standard of living and technology in general—I still feel this is one of the most interesting places on the planet to observe mobile and technology use in day to day life.

Overview

DTAC/Happy prepay phone cardsThe population of Thailand is 61 million people with an approximately 69% rural population (about 10 million in Bangkok,) one national language (Thai) and three main ethnic groups—Thai, ethnic Malay and ethnic Chinese. Mobile penetration in Thailand is expected to reach 70% by 2007 although i’m curious how accurate those numbers are considering the high incidence of multiple handset and multiple SIM ownership. The current blended ARPU is approximately $10 pcm but is expected to fall over the coming years with a decline in voice revenue counterbalanced by an expected increase in data revenues. Current operators in Thailand include (in order of importance)

There are reports that Telekom Malaysia (also a major player in Bangladesh) may be interested in entering the Thai market and other players may materialize although a 49% foreign ownership limit in the telcom sector may keep too much external competition from entering the market.

Brands

Nokia is by far the dominant brand here, followed probably by Motorola (ironically, according to Dr. Sadie Plant in “On the Mobile” the word for mobile in Thailand is moto.) This has been pretty steady over the past 5 years although there have been some blips along the way. Four and a half years ago, Nokia was clearly dominant in the shops but Sony Ericsson was the most lustworthy brand and clearly positioned as the upper-end product. Two years later, we found all sorts of newcomers in the market: Innostream, Panasonic, Bird, Sagem as well as tons of PDAs. As a matter of fact, the biggest visible change that year was the large number of PDAs, not only in the shops but in people’s hands. Laptop use also went up considerably that year so it seemed like a transitional period with consumers trying to decide where their loyalties lay and what device would make the most sense. PDA with phone and wifi? Laptop with IM and Skype? Higher end phone? (And there wasn’t even lots of wi-fi back then. Next door in Malaysia where you could already get decent monthly wi-fi for about $30, there were even more PDAs on the streets.)

A year and a half later (summer 2005) it had all changed again. Samsung had entered the market big time, sponsoring all sorts of venues across town and becoming the major sponsor for MBK—the ubiquitous middle-class-pop-culture mall in downtown Bangkok. This year however, Nokia is clearly back on top and spending tons of money to stay that way. Almost any local event you can think of has a Nokia logo on it somewhere. They are the main sponsor of one of the luxury movie theatres that just opened and there are 4 new Nokia stores within blocks of each other at Siam Square. Two of these are Nokia “N Series Experience Studios” which run demos and allow consumers to play around with the multimedia features of the devices. And despite the recent launch of the 990i, and several new Sony stores in town (even a Sony Ericsson service centre) Sony Ericsson seems to have all but disappeared. The devices are there but there’s no advertising, no TV adverts—especially compared to the dueling Motorola, Samsung and Nokia N Series (Gary Oldman “all the world’s a stage”) commercials that play constantly on UBC and on the subway.

As for what’s in people’s pockets…(on their belts, around their necks…) It’s mostly Nokia, but not necessarily the newer models. The most popular model by far seems to be the 6680—especially with students and young professionals. Then the 6630, 6670, 6710 (in other words—decent price, decent camera, MMC, browser, O/S) and there are quite a few lower end “L’Amour”s, N70s and N72 floating around as well.

I also still see many sub $100 models of course, and there certainly are piles of these entry level phones in the shops as well. The 1110 and 1600 are retailing at about $50 and $80 respectively with the tag line “Life’s little pleasures.” and last I checked there are about 11 Nokias in the sub $100 category. There are also lots of second-hand models available at 30-50% off retail (50% is mostly much older phones like the NGage, 7600, 3660, or 7710 so I assume some people are moving up from an entry level phone to a used mid-range ($150-$200) model as well. And PDAs are still highly visible—mostly carried by businesspeople, students and the creative crowd.

I think this is why Nokia’s still on top. They have lots of choice, lots of price ranges, they market the lower end models as much as they do the higher end ones (simple but nice packaging, brochures, comparison guides—even if you’re only about to spend $50,) then when you can afford to upgrade, there’s a Nokia for almost every price bracket from $80 to $1000.

Of course, if you feel like spending way more than that, you can also walk into the Paragon Mall and shop at the very shiny new Vertu store.

How to Buy a Phone

There are almost no operator-specific handsets here so the process usually goes like this.

Step 1: Go Shopping

Phones at MBK

MBK Mall at Siam Square in Bangkok has hundreds of phone vendors. There are tens of thousands of others in small neighbourhoods and towns across the country. Opening a shop seems to be very easy and there are lots of opportunities for very innovative micro-commerce locations in the malls (some vendors have a chair, a display case, 3 prefab walls and a roll-down garage door type enclosure to lock up at night. It’s cheap, practical, and you decorate it with posters to stand out from the next guy.)

Or you can try out some models at the fancier Nokia, Motorola, Samsung or Sony Ericsson stores in the higher end malls. So basically, you shop around. The concept of consumers not knowing what phone they have in their pocket is completely impossible here as far as i’m concerned. Even tiny shops have glossy, spiral bound, pop-up Nokia “selling guides” outlining every model, the specifications; and all colour coded based on the lifestyle aspect of the device (“are you looking for a business or fashion phone?”) There is also a huge “2006-2007 Nokia Buyers Guide” out in bookstores at the moment. 250 glossy pages outlining every Nokia model available as well as software reviews, mini-user guides, a very handy comparison chart and even a theme-building tutorial!

Step 2: SIM/Airtime Shopping

Once you have a phone, you shop around for a plan and a number. The numbers are displayed at vendor booths (some vendors only sell numbers/SIMs and airtime, others carry handsets as well) and lucky numbers are very important. I don’t know the technicalities of what makes a ‘good number’ but this can be quite the topic of debate at some booths (and totally confusing for newcomers who pick a number only to be stared at in horror and told it’s a “bad number.”)

With your SIM usually comes a 50-100 baht ($2-$3) airtime credit to get you started. There’s also a lot of competition for pre-pay plans with colourful advertising, mascots and TV adverts devoted to switching people from one plan to another. SIMs are even bundled with other services like a Movie SIM promo I recently ran into that gives you a SIM, airtime, free calls from your mobile if you want to buy movie tickets as well as other related discounts. It’s no wonder then that the current pre-pay to post-pay ratio is still a whopping 6:1. I’ve also seen tons of people with two phones, both of them in use (often one in each hand :-) but maybe one just for for texting and the other for talking, taking photos etc.

I would also assume that, due to the income level of many Thai’s there are still a large number of consumers who prefer to buy airtime ‘just-in-time’ rather than sign up for a plan. There are also lots of efficient top-up schemes that allow consumers to buy airtime from friends or street-side vendors. (Orange had a great promo last year with hundreds of vendors standing at skytrain or mall entrances with a big orange “mobile top-up” apron around their necks ready to sell you credits.) Driving into town to pay an invoice is also likely to be problematic for rural consumers. Mind you—there is such an emphasis on micro-commerce here, it wouldn’t surprise me if they set up franchisee bill-pay centres in smaller towns.

ICTs and Knowledge

With a minimum wage of just Bt. 130/$4 per day (in 2000) there are obviously many people in Thailand who cannot afford a home computer but it’s also impossible to describe how much computer use has grown in just a few years. Figures from 2005 showed home computer ownership levels at 2.78/100 inhabitants and a Unesco report that year also stated:

“Most schools in Thailand do not have adequate ICT facilities and lack computers. There are currently 32,741 schools in Thailand that provide education for 8,830,000 students. Approximately 451 schools do not have electricity and 16,000 schools do not have telephone lines. The total number of computers in schools is around 120,739.” (UNESCO: Mobile Learning for Expanding Educational Opportunities)

What’s clear to me from these numbers is that mobiles have the potential to play a large part in ICT based educational opportunities but I’m not so sure that the more traditional mobile handset will be the device of choice. Rather, the ability to simply ‘be mobile‘ while learning through a PDA or laptop may provide more value than handsets—especially when you compare the economics of a mid-range handset (with MMC, browser etc.) to a PDA or laptop purchase.

We first saw a noticeable rise in laptop use (and availability) in summer 2005 but as of this year, laptops are everywhere. Even mall vendors with tiny booths selling shoes, jewelry, or mobile services often have one and it’s not uncommon to see business people or groups students having lunch at a neighbourhood mall or in the park (yes there are parks in Bangkok :-) while working on a laptop. This is a huge change and—while there has always been very high computer use in internet cafes—the ability to buy a decent laptop or high end PDA for about $600 along with growing wi-fi hotspots (about 4000 Thailand wide last I checked) are creating real value for these devices as multi-purpose investment for the whole family. And it often really seems to be the whole family. It has never been unusual here to see young and old, male and female alike running computer and mobile shops (or my favourite—elderly ladies sitting behind a mall booth avidly playing Game Boy :-) This trend doesn’t seem to be going away and what it seems to mean for mobile is that these devices are likely being used much more fully than they often are back home; where many adults don’t know how to change their battery let alone take the device apart to replace a worn keypad or install new software.

As well, as in many Asian nations, there is a strong focus on knowledge (often through ICTs) as a way to improve your life and career prospects. The new Paragon mall downtown includes a whole “Edutainment” floor, mostly devoted to helping children compete socially and professionally in life. They offer ballet lessons, piano, art, phys-ed for toddlers, kids cooking classes, language classes (not just English but Mandarin, Japanese, Korean, French etc.) computer classes (3D, animation, design, movie making) maths and science tutoring and in many of these courses, there is an ICT related component. Obviously some of these services are only affordable to upper or middle-class consumers but even in smaller neighbourhood malls or towns, you usually find a choice of lower priced alternatives.
TK Park
Two years ago, the Thai government also set up TK Park in downtown Bangkok. Billed as the Thailand Knowledge Park, it includes a public library with free internet and educational game access, a larger internet area complete with Mac, PC and Linux workstations (some with graphics and multimedia software,) a computer-book library (lovely idea!) and a technology museum of sorts supported by Microsoft, Oracle, Acer etc. featuring tablet PCs, Linux demos and learning sessions on the history of computers. There is also a digital design school as well as conference and meeting space. Much of this is free and wi-fi is also available. TK Park has recently tripled in size to accommodate the huge demand and when we spent time there last year, it was quite clear that much of the usage was coming from young, less advantaged inner-city families who would take an hour away from their small businesses (food carts, streetside vendors etc.) to bring their kids into the fun, air conditioned space to read a book, see a puppet show or play some educational games online. The new TK is an absolutely gorgeous space with some great additions like IT Camps (blogging, GarageBand, Picasa, digital moviemaking) so I hope it will stay free.

Finally, government programs have affected the open source movement and inadvertently—overall computer costs and even the adoption of Microsoft software.

To increase computer ownership, MICT launched the Computer ICT Programme in the first quarter of 2003 offering citizens low-cost computers sold with a preinstalled Linux and OpenOffice package supplied by NECTEC. The computer, including a regular monitor, was sold at US$250. Generic and brand-name computer vendors responded by slashing their prices to compete with the budget computer.

The programme also gave a boost to the open source movement, as the bundling of the budget computer with open source software has helped to create mass demand for Linux in place of the more expensive proprietary software. In a later phase of the programme, Microsoft decided to join in by offering a special version of the Thai-language Windows XP and Office XP package at a very low price (US$35). (more)

Content

Gameboy on the SkyTrainThere has always been a strong supply of games, ringtones and wallpapers here with value added services now generating over $150 million a year (2005.) Print advertising is very popular here so most operators or independent content providers supply stacks of colourful glossy brochures and posters featuring the latest download offerings for display at small shops. Still, a drop in revenue sharing has caused some stress in the industry with operators announcing they would now split revenues 50:50 instead of the existing 65% share for content creators.

I’ve also always wondered what will happen here if Flash Lite becomes commonly available on handsets here. Great design seems to be everywhere and I can honestly say that some of the best design in the world is coming out of Thailand lately. Everything from illustration to photography, film, animation, interior design/furniture, and industrial design (novelty products, stationary, accessories.) And unlike certain Asian markets, the styles, colour choices and products are quite varied and very approachable internationally while still remaining very Thai. I can only imagine the great mobile games and content that could be produced in this country if a more economical mobile authoring platform were available. As it stands, there are a handful of mobile game companies here releasing regional and local titles for J2ME but they have to compete with everyone else and I’m sure are under the same pressure as folks back home to make the stuff operators think will sell.

Mobile Web

I know very little about mobile web penetration here but do have some incidental knowledge from SIM purchases over the years. Configuring your GPRS settings is way easier here than back home. The operator web sites typically have a clearly marked ‘GPRS settings’ page or you can receive the settings by SMS. I guess with all the SIM swapping it just has to be easy or no-one will use it. So this removes one of the common barriers but there is still the issue of cost and that’s where i’m not sure if Thailand has had an advantage or not. However with all the PDA and wi-fi use, mobile internet usage must be growing as well—though maybe not as much on handsets as on hybrid devices.
TK Park
Broadband availability has also risen dramatically since 2005 and prices have finally dropped to something reasonable. There are lots of wi-fi hotspots around town including some free ones in high traffic neighbourhoods where youth and business people tend to spend lots of time. So once again, this results in lots of people using PDAs and laptops in public places for work and play.

Culture (and Sanuk)

No mobile discussion would be complete without talk of culture. Thais like to have fun, but it goes a bit beyond the word fun as English speakers use it. It’s called ‘sanuk.’

The word “sanuk” means to have a good time, to enjoy oneself and to derive pleasure and joy from something…It is almost a rule of living for Thai people that whatever they do have to be “sanuk”. The concept of “sanuk” goes beyond the having of a good laugh or a good time at a dance or a performance. (more)

This may seem trivial or stereotypical but spend a few days in Thailand and it becomes obvious how sanuk affects every day life. And this is what I love about technology and mobile here. It’s fun. And if it’s not, it doesn’t seem to last very long (or maybe someone finds a way to make it fun.) So this leads to all sorts of personalization, interesting SIM card promos, music downloads and promotional displays in malls complete with song, dance, props, mascots, contests…it never seems to end. And yet for all this fun, the mobile culture is still very respectful. People frequently cover their mouths while talking on the phone in public or use an earbud headset holding the mic to their mouth. Most people remember to turn off their phones in movie theatres and if they don’t, hilarious adverts remind them to do so. But life is getting busier, things are costing more and i’m assuming debts are rising. People don’t always stop when the national anthem plays at 6pm each night like they used to and receiving calls on two handsets probably stops being ‘sanuk’ every once in a while. Like many emerging markets, Thailand is growing at an amazing pace and it’s hard to tell how things will change here in the coming years.

Final words…

I ran into a collection of SMS books last week. Small sayings, jokes and love or friendship poems to send your friends. All under 156 characters. Here are some of my favourites.

Dare to love. Dare to follow dreams Dare to challenge yourself. And dare to be a looser, too

Am I a friend of yours? If so, please send me 500 Baht!

I don’t know what magic power of this mobile phone forces me to send SMS.

I hear you have a miracle comb which makes your hair neat and beautiful. Can I use it to comb my messy life?

Miss you so much. I don’t know where you are now. Please call me back. It’s your creditor.

Carnival of the Mobilists (#50)

Carnival of the MobilistsThis installment of the Carnival of the Mobilists (#50) is hosted by the fine folks at MobHappy. Look for the post of the week from Michael Mace’s Mobile Opportunity Blog with some great commentary on the rise of the smartphone at the expense of the PC. Carlo has graciously paired Michael’s post with my recent entry about the PDA vs the Smartphone. Thanks Carlo!

Be sure to check it out!

SVG and Monotype Fonts

My graphic designer roots are showing :-) Yee olde font house Monotype is partnering with Ikivo (which provides mobile SVG products and players) to release a series of scalable (!) fonts for mobile devices. The ESQ® Mobile series includes 200 fonts and quite a nice selection (PDF) at that.

“Monotype Imaging’s ESQ® Mobile mobile fonts are based on the industry standard TrueType and OpenType font formats and can be licensed by developers, content creators, application providers, mobile publishers, wireless operators and handset manufacturers. Integrated with your application, content, game, service or user interface, ESQ mobile fonts allow you to differentiate your product with something powerfully simple—scalable type that’s distinctive in style.” [via UK Mobile Marketing Magazine)

This is not the first scalable font announcement i’ve heard (and of course embedded desktop/print-designed fonts in Flash Lite do scale—though not always reliably in my experience.) Other announcements have been focused on Asian font sets exclusively. This mobile SVG-specific announcement is particularly interesting as the SVG deployment stats are already quite impressive. The most up to date list of models that are shipping with SVG Tiny 1.1 is pretty big (especially once you take into account the popularity of some of these handsets.)

  • Motorola: C975, C980, E770V, E1000, i580, i870, i875, i880, i885, V3X, V975, V980, V1050
  • Nokia: 3250, 5500 Sport, 6125, 6126, 6131, 6136, 6151, 6233, 6234, 6265, 6280, 6282, 6288, 7370, 7373, 7390, 7710, 8800 Sirocco Edition, E50, E60, E61, E62, E70, N70, N71, N72, N73, N75, N80, N90, N91, N92, N93, N95
  • Panasonic: MX6, MX7, SA6, SA7, VS3, VS7
  • Sagem: my-X8, my-V76, my-V85
  • Samsung: D600, E350, Z300, Z500, Z560, ZV10, ZV30
  • Siemens: C65, C70, C75, CF65, CFX65, CL75, CX65, CX70, CX70 Emoty, CX75, M65, M75, S65, S75, SF65, SL65, SL75, SK65, SP65
  • Sony Ericsson: D750, F500, K300, K310, K320, K500, K508, K510, K600, K608, K610, K700, K750, K790, K800, M600, P990, S600, S700, S710, V600, V630, V800, W300, W550, W600, W700, W710, W800, W810, W830, W850, W900, W950, Z500, Z520, Z530, Z550, Z558, Z710, Z800

and there are many more. According to Ikivo, shipments of SVG have to date reached 150 million units and over 150 devices. (PDF)

Depending on the implementation and availability within products and services, scalable fonts could—at the very least—enable accessiblity features, allowing users to adjust fonts for size and legibility within the O/S. On a more personal level however, fonts as fashion/lifestyle may finally become available to the mobile realm as they already are in print and digital.

“Now that text-writing has become digital, design-savvy Koreans have paved the way for a growing market for fonts, the style that is used in text design. Revenue for buying fonts to use on blogs is increasing and graphics firms are developing more Korean fonts. Chin Mi-young, a college student in Seoul, uses different fonts to write on her Cyworld Web site, depending on her mood. “I don’t like the conventional-looking fonts, but the ones that look like real handwriting,” she said. “When I’m happy, I want to express myself with a cuter font.”…

Pyun Suk-hoon, head of Yoon Design, one of Korea’s largest commercial typography-developing graphics companies, said that these trends show that fonts are now considered a fashion. “Young people like to express their individuality and their culture visually, which is why they decorate their Web sites with different designs and now, different fonts,”" [via Joong Ang Daily)

Interview with Jan Chipchase

A great interview with Jan Chipchase from the folks at the Convivio Network (“a Thematic network of researchers and practitioners from many backgrounds (computer science, human sciences, design, business) developing a broad discipline of human-centered design of digital systems for everday life.”)

A few notable passages…

The extent to which the research team spends time in context is an issue I struggle with even on something as seemingly routine as deciding where to stay during a field study. Our default accommodation is often a multi-national hotel chain with everything that that entails, but except for the financial elites in many of those societies you’re cut off from the people you’re researching. But on the other hand to function effectively the team needs to work from a safe, clean environment that supports interaction with team members, home bases and the other people that are part of our working lives. These demands create conflicting needs. My ideal situation is to book locally owned guest houses situated close to the communities where the research takes place though it doesn’t always work out that way.

This is probably a good point to raise the issue of cultural translation. Access to situations and contexts is important but how do you know you’re drawing the right conclusions?….

….Some things are obvious, it’s just that no-one has looked or asked those questions in that context before. Assuming that the research findings are both new and relevant to the client’s interests, one of the highest compliments is when they say “that’s so obvious now”. The comment suggests that we’ve picked up on behaviors that are subtle enough to be largely invisible but common enough to be understood….

Some great points. As someone who has travelled and worked on the road from odd locations with silly amounts of gear, i’ve often been frustrated by how high maintenance you become for need of reliable internet access, non-flaky power, air-con, and a place to lock up your laptop(s) at night. In an every-day ‘man on the street’ research context, i’m sure this can be even more frustrating.

Actually, a mid-range serviced apartment (fancy name for cleaning 3 times a week and satelitte TV) like the one we’re in can be a nice alternative in some cities. At least you can stay in a local neighbourhood, take public transit downtown, eat at the neighbourhood joints and get stuck in the rain like everyone else. And you don’t have to plan ahead to do it :-)

Great article. Well worth a read!

Twitchr Resurfaces

Funny. I spent a while yesterday hunting around for a good a link to Twitchr—the lovely exploratory mobile game by Future Platforms—for one of my posts. Could only find a few links so I thought the game was defunct; having never gone past the Beta stage.

So I was very pleased to get this news in Future Platform’s newsletter today…

[Twitchr]…explores casual play on mobile, in a format closer to a Tamagotchi toy than a traditional game. It called for highly creative design coupled with strong Java development.

The good news is that we have recently agreed a license with Nokia that will allow us to distribute and further develop this very special mobile experience. FP founder Tom Hume recently presented Twitchr at Playtime, part of the London Games Festival Fringe.

http://www.futureplatforms.com/fp/twitchr.jsp

They say the game is like “Pokemon having a fight with Flickr on your phoneâ„¢” Great news! Looking forward to hearing more in the coming months. (Hey Tom, is that closed beta you mentioned still on? :-)

Mobile Learning and the PSP


Welcome observations from Geoff at CTAD about learning content for the PSP.

I am just back from the handheld learning conference in London, where I showcased our content authoring, and in particular the PSP materials. It seems we have tapped into a latent, and unfulfilled need. We know that there are a lot of PSPs out there. What we didn’t know was that there were so many people interested in using them for learning. Fantastic news!…I have met a couple of people in the UK already looking to use the PSP as a glorified memory stick in education…This is a good idea, but seems like only the beginning. What we need is tools for educators to be able, more simply, to create more relevant, more meaningful content of their own – personalised to their learners. more..

The PSP is a highly underrated device. We discovered its appeal a last year when we made our JPG stacks. It has one of the crispest and clearest displays of any mobile device i’ve ever seen, very useable controls, a great image viewer (for image stacks) and easy content transfer capabilities. There was also something insanely enjoyable about holding it in your hands to browse through content. And back then, there wasn’t even a browser, wi-fi or RSS. The only hitch—as Geoff noted—is the lack of real content creation opportunities (other than video, blogs and images) for mobile devices in general—especially incorporating the type of interactivity that would make the content really useful for learning. [On a related note regarding easy authoring tools for content and widgets, see a recent post by Andrew Woolridge on Open Laszlo and widgets.]

The fish content above is one of our old stacks (still available on Flickr) but head over to Geoff’s site for screenshots of his learning content re-gigged to work on a PSP as well as screenshots of the PDA versions from CTAD’s m-learning site.

Simple. Colourful. Really nice work!

M-Learning with Flash Lite Content Packs from Taiwan

Ok, this is a brilliant idea from Gigabyte out of Taiwan—on two fronts. Firstly, their new g-re line of devices are being marketed as a mobile learning phone.

The g-re is a slider phone with a neat look and rich content. Besides ten novel motion-sensing JAVA games, g-re is equipped with an unprecedented GEPT (General English Proficiency Test) learning tool, providing a complete mobile life of entertainment and learning. g-re supports a series of interactive GEPT learning tools co-developed with National Yunlin University of Science and Technology. Plug in the GEPT memory cards and enjoy a mobile English learning environment from basic to advanced level, and from listening to reading.

The content pack idea is not new but this is a really interesting implementation as it ties specific content with a specific device and specific target group. The phone is fun, colourful and clearly meant for students so the tie-in of ESL practice and learning (a popular subject throughout Asia) with a personal device is a good one. And—assuming developers’ resources (SDK, device profile etc.) are eventually made available to the community and there is no DRM on the cards themselves, it introduces a great secondary market for new m-learning content that would be once again tailored to this group and this device. Plus—due to the flexibility of Flash Lite—with some judicious coding and testing, it’s quite likely that these SWF files would also work on S60 and Sony Ericsson devices—and maybe even the U10—despite the difference in controllers and softkey configurations.

I also really like the way they’ve incorporated the motion sensors into fun yet very useable (sounding) features.

  • Shake and Change wallpapers. I love this idea! Shake the phone, the wallpaper changes. A nice, simple yet non-gratuitous and low-stress use of the motion sensing abilities of the device.
  • Bodyguard. Once again taking advantage of the motion sensors, the phone can be placed on personal property (ex. hang it on a door) and will activate an alarm when disturbed.
  • Smart Alarm. Apparently this built in alarm clock can only be turned off with a ‘sober head.’ Hmm…not sure what that means but opens up some possibilities for early morning skill testing questions or motion sensing calisthenics in lieu of simply pressing the snooze button.
  • Built in Motion Sensing Games: They don’t elaborate on what these might be but judging by some of the awesome games coming out of the region that involve movement already, they could be really fun.

I’m quite the geek but I don’t care much for gratuitous uses of technology. Motion sensing technology prototypes for handsets have often struck me as trying to do too much. Phones spend their days being moved around from hand to pocket to purse to desk to floor (oops!) etc. So the above examples seem perfect to me as they are useful, yet not integral to any of the vital functions of the phone (making a call, sending a text, opening an application, scrolling through a menu etc.)

Plus the features are fun! For all the glitter, handsets are getting a bit boring these days. The Carl Zeiss lenses and all that are wonderful—don’t get me wrong—but when was the last time just using a handset was actually fun, made you giggle, or made you smile right out of the box?

Decline of the PDA?

Some good commentary this week from Russell in The PDA is Dead, Long Live the Smartphone.

Latest from Gartner is that Smartphone sales are soaring, eagle-like, into the ether, with an increase in sales of 75%. During the same period, PDA sales barely rose 5%, with Palm not even bothering to launch a new model in 2006 at all. Their renewed focus on the Treo sends out its own message that it really is Game Over for this sector. The smartphone sector is now 4 times as big as PDAs and this trend will now accelerate to the extinction of PDAs as a category.

Certainly, if you live in the US (or certainly Canada,) you could be excused for thinking that Blackberrys and Treos are the only PDAs around. But when you speak to educators, follow educational technology trends or visit certain other parts of the world—it’s a different story. (I only know South East Asia. I’d love to hear about PDA use in BRIC nations, Africa and the Middle East if anyone has some data handy.) Walking around Bangkok, I see lots of people everyday sitting in public places using PDAs. And by ‘using’ I mean everything from making voice calls to doing homework with friends, having meetings with colleagues or or surfing on a bench in front of a known wi-fi hotspot. There’s also lots of choice here. I bought a lower-end HP last week but there are also Dopods, O2s, iMates, Lenovos, Asus, Gigabytes (from Taiwan—very interesting product line) Samsungs, Fujitsu-Siemens, the odd smaller regional brand as well as the obligatory hybrid devices like the Treo, Blackberry, Sony Ericsson’s P990i and Nokia E series. Last time I was in Malaysia and Singapore, it was about the same. Lots of models, lots of usage on the street.

Still—call it a smartphone, PDA, Ultra Mobile PC, hybrid or something else—what we really need is a device that fills the space the PDA occupied (assuming you agree it is at risk of extinction.) The educational community continues to buy PDAs by the thousands all over the world because they’re super flexible and therefore make the most sense in a learning context. And—whether you believe education is a viable market segment or not—it’s that very combination of features that educators and students find useful that make me wonder if the PDA is going anywhere at all—or if bigger, better smartphones are really the alternative.

The average PDA feature list can be daunting compared to the average smartphone: (especially in my opinion the first 3)

  • Hackable O/S: By this I simply mean that there is the ability to create and distribute applications for the device without affiliation with the OEM or an operator. Huge advantage when compared to the overall smartphone category at the moment.
  • Less Fragmentation: Whether you care for Microsoft or not, the fact that many PDAs now use the Pocket PC platform is a huge plus. (Pocket PC had about 52% market share in 2006 followed by 22% for RIM and 13% for the soon to be Linux PalmSource/Access OS.) Screen sizes are also pretty consistent as are input mechanisms.
  • Application EcoSystem: I’m always amazed at the sheer number and variety of applications available for the PDA. Some are ‘mom and pop’, others more sophisticated but you have so much choice compared to smartphone applications.
  • Large and/or VGA screen, touch screen and stylus: Making usage much easier and providing more options for developers when creating UI and interaction widgets. Also makes the device more usable in certain accessibility scenarios (though potentially less usable if manual dexterity is an issue.)
  • Navi-Pad: All the PDAs i’ve seen lately have one of these too which allows for backup stylus-less interaction when needed and can be useful when playing games.
  • Off the rack memory card: Never mind all the reduced-reduced sized MMC cards and ever changing formats. Most PDAs still seem to take SD cards.
  • Bluetooth: Now fairly common.
  • Wi-fi and browser: I have the pre-installed Windows browser and also downloaded Opera. The wi-fi is easy to connect to and also allows for use of IM and VOIP clients.
  • Media Players: Not an expert here but most PDAs can play video, audio (often also record audio) and some flavour of Flash content. There’s also SVG support in some browsers.
  • Common Document Support: Multiple versions of Office document readers, PowerPoint viewers, Acrobat PDF, Piscel, E-Book readers. Some are proprietary but the ability to transfer and make meaningful use of documents is quite high.
  • Keyboard and Text Input: On screen QWERTY equivalents, dockable or Bluetooth keyboard. Also ‘graffiti’ style handwriting recognition on many devices.
  • Built-In Telephony: Not all PDAs have this of course but many do, and not having to be tied to an operator can sometimes be a good thing :-)
  • Camera/Video Capabilities: Here again, not available across the board.
  • Data Synchronization: I find this a blessing and a curse but many people love it and it certainly can be useful in business and learning scenarios where the PDA is used during the day—in lieu of a laptop—then synched up at night.
  • Decent Battery: Ok, I know this is one of the criticisms but they have improved and i’m guessing some of the high end smartphones are no better when used for video and the like.

[FYI-Gartner defines a PDA as a "data-centric handheld computer weighing less than one pound that is primarily designed for use with both hands. These devices use an open market operating system supported by third-party applications that can be added into the device by end users. They offer instant on/off capability and synchronization of files with a PC. A PDA may offer WAN support for voice, but these are data-first, voice-second devices. Smartphones offer all the attributes of a PDA, except that smartphones are voice-centric and are designed for primarily a one-handed operation."]

So of course ‘hybrid’ and ‘convergence’ enthusiasts will proclaim that we can cram all this stuff into a smartphone and maybe we can (or already have)—but should we?

For every person who staunchly says “I only want one device” I still see lots of people still carrying a phone + a separate mp3 player, a PDA, a laptop, an Game Boy—or yet another phone. Part of that choice is likely economics but the remainder is often a personal choice to use (and choose) a device that helps you do something you like to do, does this well—and makes you feel good doing it. Even hybrid devices, are still designed to fill some sort of consumer niche!

When you look at the some of the more sought after smartphones, it’s pretty clear that somewhere along the way, the OEM decided they were making a niche device—be it media (N Series), business (E Series, Q,) fashion (Razr, L’Amour,) gaming (NGage) etc. Of course the telephony part is a given since it is after all a phone. But once you get past that—it’s probably lifestyle and productivity features (be they work or play) that actually sell the phone.

It’s about user wants & needs. They don’t have to carry all devices at all times—they can pick & choose, just as most of us do now. I make a decision about which of my 2 main phones, my PC, my iPod or my digital camera to carry. Sometimes I take one device, sometimes four or five. Sometimes none.

Plus you’re missing the core consumer argument that people like having more stuff.

In product markets, divergence is almost always more important than convergence. I bet most people have more electrical items in their kitchens now than 30 years ago, despite washers & driers “converging” in many cases. Convergence has occurred in basic enablers: common electricity & water supply, and scale economies in motors, controllers & other components. It hasn’t occurred at a product level – my microwave, dishwasher, and, yes, toaster again are not integrated. It’s possible, but there’s no demand. And this is despite the huge increase in house prices which should put a premium on compactness to fit appliances in a smaller kitchen. [Dean Bubley, via Forum Oxford on a well debated similar topic]

Plus, for every additional lifestyle feature you enable an effort to make a truly ‘all purpose device,’ (qwerty keyboard, gaming control, larger screen, high end video) the less useable or practical the phone may end up being for its primary purpose—being a phone. (Remember the original NGage ‘taco’ phone :-) By comparison, the PDA is already pretty good at what it’s trying to do. And with wireless connectivity one may argue that many PDAs don’t really need to be phones anyhow. (Certainly in the case of the educational community—having to activate hundreds of SIMs, negotiate group plans and keep track of data usage is a growing problem. Lots easier to get a slightly cheaper PDA, use the extra cash to buy more memory and peripherals, then take advantage of VOIP and wi-fi to communicate.)

In some ways, the PDA is at a turning point. It may evolve into a smartphone niche device or simply remain a PDA (one that sometimes includes telephony features.) What may likely tell the tale is the PDA users themselves. The same person who now chooses a PDA for what it does best will still want—and expect—its smartphone successor to offer the same features and flexibility—some of which smartphones can’t currently offer! And as a niche smartphone device, will it really begin address the needs of some of its current sub-niche groups as certain PDAs do?

If not, I bet there will be a lot of people walking around grumbling about the ‘good old days’ of the PDA :-)